January 12, 2025

ESPN’s FPI projection for Wisconsin’s contest vs. No. 3 Ohio State

The Wisconsin Badgers (2-1) enter Saturday’s road contest against the No. 3 Ohio State Buckeyes (3-0) as 18.5-point underdogs in a David vs. Goliath matchup under the lights in Columbus, Ohio. The Badgers, coming off a 66-7 victory over New Mexico State, looked sharp on offense after a lousy performance the week before; however, it was against one of the nation’s worst programs. UW will need an efficient game from starting quarterback Graham Mertz and the offensive line to hold up in pass protection if they are going to have a chance against the Buckeyes, who are 37-4 under head coach Ryan Day and rarely lose at home. Ahead of Saturday’s matchup, ESPN’s FPI model gives Wisconsin an 11% chance of winning on the road against the Buckeyes. This projection is more than fair, considering Wisconsin hasn’t beaten Ohio State since 2010. Not to mention the talent disparity between the…

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