November 5, 2024

Alabama vs. Ohio State: Wild scoring likely


As of Wednesday morning, Alabama was an eight-point betting favorite over Ohio State in the College Football Playoff national championship game with an over/under of 75. Let’s analyze the matchups to see if we can find any value in the betting line. Defending Ohio State’s Justin Fields a big challenge Alabama gave up 48 points to Ole Miss and 46 points to Florida. In the 20 drives against those offenses that didn’t finish with the clock running out at the end of a half, the Tide gave up 12 touchdowns and three field goals. Ohio State’s offense ranks No. 2 in SP+ compared to No. 4 and No. 14 for Florida and Ole Miss, respectively. No offense to Kyle Trask and Matt Corral, but Justin Fields is a better quarterback. He’s thrown for 66 touchdowns against nine interceptions for his career with a 69.4 percent completion rate. At 6-foot-3, 228…

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